Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-23 · 19:45
14.3122.2%
X3.8025.2%
21.8252.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DWLLDWDWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Fiorentina
DWLLLDDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
20%
90%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.70
Against
1.80
9.90
Total
6.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.80goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
1.80
9.90
Match total
6.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.80
Match total
5.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
26.30
Match total
25.20

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.30
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.2%27.0%+4.8 pp
Draw25.2%18.9%-6.3 pp
Away52.6%54.1%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.559.5%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS59.5%

Historical average

1.161.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.7%
1-210.8%
1-08.1%
0-16.3%
2-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.465.68
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.551.4%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.6%25.5%–57.7% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT25.0%13.3%–42.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals53.1%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.6%
Away53.1%