Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 19:45
11.5063.6%
X4.3422.0%
26.6514.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WDWWLWWWLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Genoa
WDWDDLDWDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.50
Against
6.60
9.00
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.60
9.00
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.40
Match total
22.30

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
7.70N=10
4.10
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches212
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%69.8%+6.2 pp
Draw22.0%16.5%-5.5 pp
Away14.4%13.7%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.553.3%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

2.050.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.2%
1-014.2%
2-19.9%
1-18.5%
3-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.61
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=212.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.7%44.3%–71.7% CI
Draw FT32.6%20.9%–47.0% CI
Away FT8.7%3.4%–20.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals28.3%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away26.1%