Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 14:00
12.9432.5%
X3.5526.9%
22.3540.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
LLWDWLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Frosinone
LLDLLLDDDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
2.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
8.50
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.30
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
1.30goals per matchFrosinone conceded2.10Matchup
Frosinone attack
0.80goals per matchMonza conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
8.50
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.10
Match total
25.10
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches299
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%29.8%-2.7 pp
Draw26.9%34.1%+7.2 pp
Away40.6%36.1%-4.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS60.2%
Historical average
1.28–1.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
2-29.4%
2-18.0%
0-07.7%
1-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.06–4.84
Average total9.90
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=298.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%18.2%–36.9% CI
Draw FT45.8%35.5%–56.4% CI
Away FT27.7%19.2%–38.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals14.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.8%
Away50.6%