Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 14:00
12.9432.5%
X3.5526.9%
22.3540.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LLWDWLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Frosinone
LLDLLLDDDD
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
2.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.70
Against
4.40
8.50
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
2.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.30
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.30goals per match
Frosinone conceded2.10
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.80goals per match
Monza conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.40
8.50
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.10
Match total
25.10

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.10
On target
3.70
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches299
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%29.8%-2.7 pp
Draw26.9%34.1%+7.2 pp
Away40.6%36.1%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS60.2%

Historical average

1.281.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
2-29.4%
2-18.0%
0-07.7%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.064.84
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=298.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.1%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.540.9%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%18.2%–36.9% CI
Draw FT45.8%35.5%–56.4% CI
Away FT27.7%19.2%–38.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away50.6%