Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 11:30
12.3740.4%
X3.4228.0%
23.0231.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sassuolo
LWDLLWDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Cagliari
LDLLDWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
1.90
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.70
Against
6.30
8.90
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sassuolo attack
1.20goals per matchCagliari conceded2.20Matchup
Cagliari attack
0.70goals per matchSassuolo conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.30
8.90
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
20.50
Match total
24.10
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches563
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%41.7%+1.4 pp
Draw28.0%29.0%+1.0 pp
Away31.7%29.3%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS59.7%
Historical average
1.53–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
2-19.4%
1-28.7%
1-08.2%
2-07.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.63–4.72
Average total10.35
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.9%30.6%–45.8% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.5%–47.8% CI
Away FT22.2%16.4%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.8%
Away47.1%