Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 11:30
12.3740.4%
X3.4228.0%
23.0231.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LWDLLWDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Cagliari
LDLLDWLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
1.90
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.70
Against
6.30
8.90
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.20goals per match
Cagliari conceded2.20
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.70goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.30
8.90
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
20.50
Match total
24.10

Shots

10.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.40
On target
3.20
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches563
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%41.7%+1.4 pp
Draw28.0%29.0%+1.0 pp
Away31.7%29.3%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS59.7%

Historical average

1.531.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
2-19.4%
1-28.7%
1-08.2%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.72
Average total10.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=562.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.9%30.6%–45.8% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.5%–47.8% CI
Away FT22.2%16.4%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away47.1%