Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 19:45
12.8134.1%
X3.2529.5%
22.6336.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
DWDWLDWDDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
DWWWLWWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
2.20
0.30
Conceded
1.50
10%
Over 2.5
80%
10%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.10
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
2.30
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.20
0.30
Goals conceded
1.50
1.00
Total goals
3.70
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Torino attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.50
Matchup

Milan attack

2.20goals per match
Torino conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
10%1/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.90
Match total
22.20

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
3.20
On target
6.10
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches855
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%31.0%-3.1 pp
Draw29.5%30.1%+0.6 pp
Away36.4%38.9%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.121.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
0-111.8%
0-09.8%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.914.86
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=855.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches281
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.0%22.2%–32.5% CI
Draw FT40.6%35.0%–46.4% CI
Away FT32.4%27.2%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.0%
Away49.5%