Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 19:45
12.8134.1%
X3.2529.5%
22.6336.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Torino
DWDWLDWDDD
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Milan
DWWWLWWWDD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
0.70
Scored
2.20
0.30
Conceded
1.50
10%
Over 2.5
80%
10%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.10
1H goals
1.40
0.90
2H goals
2.30
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.90
9.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
2.20
0.30
Goals conceded
1.50
1.00
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Torino attack
0.70goals per matchMilan conceded1.50Matchup
Milan attack
2.20goals per matchTorino conceded0.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.90
9.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.90
Match total
22.20
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
15.60N=10
3.20
On target
6.10
5%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches855
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.1%31.0%-3.1 pp
Draw29.5%30.1%+0.6 pp
Away36.4%38.9%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.12–1.28
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
0-111.8%
0-09.8%
2-18.7%
1-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.91–4.86
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=855.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches281
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.0%22.2%–32.5% CI
Draw FT40.6%35.0%–46.4% CI
Away FT32.4%27.2%–38.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals35.2%
3+ goals14.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.0%
Away49.5%