Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-18 · 17:00
14.5621.0%
X3.8025.2%
21.7853.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
WDLWLLDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Atalanta
LDWDLDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
1.50
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
4.20
11.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.60goals per match
Lecce conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.20
11.00
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
26.40
Match total
24.50

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
5%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches219
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.0%23.7%+2.7 pp
Draw25.2%24.7%-0.5 pp
Away53.8%51.6%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.8%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS51.6%

Historical average

1.061.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.0%
1-110.0%
1-29.1%
0-29.1%
0-08.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.415.70
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=219.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.9%15.3%–35.3% CI
Draw FT37.3%26.7%–49.3% CI
Away FT38.8%28.0%–50.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals44.8%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.3%
Away58.2%