Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-13 · 19:45
11.5661.0%
X4.2922.2%
25.6816.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWDLWWDLDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Monza
LDWLDWWLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
2.20
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.60
Against
6.10
9.80
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

2.00goals per match
Monza conceded1.20
Matchup

Monza attack

0.90goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.10
9.80
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
5.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
23.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.10
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches310
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.0%66.8%+5.7 pp
Draw22.2%18.1%-4.1 pp
Away16.8%15.2%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.533.5%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

2.150.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.6%
1-111.0%
1-011.0%
2-110.0%
3-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.293.74
Average total10.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=310.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.531.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches77
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%43.5%–65.2% CI
Draw FT31.2%21.9%–42.2% CI
Away FT14.3%8.2%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.3%
2+ goals49.4%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.3%
Away45.5%