Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-13 · 17:30
12.6436.1%
X3.0830.9%
22.8933.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DWDLWLLDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Udinese
LDDLWLWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.90
Against
7.70
10.90
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.90goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.80goals per match
Lecce conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.90
Corners against
7.70
10.90
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.00
Match total
4.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
27.10
Match total
23.60

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.10
6%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches777
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%35.5%-0.6 pp
Draw30.9%35.1%+4.2 pp
Away33.0%29.3%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.151.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
1-012.6%
0-012.2%
0-19.4%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.924.57
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=776.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches287
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.4%26.3%–36.9% CI
Draw FT47.0%41.3%–52.8% CI
Away FT21.6%17.2%–26.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.9%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals11.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away40.1%