Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 19:45
12.0147.5%
X3.5726.7%
23.7125.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWWWWWWLDW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Roma
LLLWWWDDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.60
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Matchup

Roma attack

1.60goals per match
Atalanta conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.20
Match total
4.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.40
Match total
24.80

Shots

18.20N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
7.60
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches625
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.5%45.4%-2.1 pp
Draw26.7%27.5%+0.8 pp
Away25.7%27.0%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

1.581.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.5%
1-09.8%
2-18.6%
1-28.3%
0-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.48
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=625.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches179
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT38.0%31.2%–45.3% CI
Draw FT39.7%32.8%–47.0% CI
Away FT22.3%16.9%–29.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals41.3%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away43.0%