Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 17:00
11.1483.8%
X8.5611.2%
219.175.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWWDLWDDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Salernitana
LWLDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
0.60
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.80
0.90
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.90
Against
8.40
10.10
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.60
Goals conceded
2.50
1.80
Total goals
3.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.20goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.50
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.70goals per match
Juventus conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
8.40
10.10
Match total
11.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.20
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
21.20
Match total
23.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.10
On target
2.40
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.8%95.2%+11.4 pp
Draw11.2%2.4%-8.8 pp
Away5.0%2.4%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.554.8%
BTTS31.0%

Historical average

3.260.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.3%
3-011.9%
2-011.9%
5-011.9%
4-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.712.05
Average total10.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT86.7%62.1%–96.3% CI
Draw FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals6.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away6.7%