Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 14:00
12.2342.8%
X3.4727.5%
23.2229.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DDDWLWLDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Sassuolo
DLLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.20N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
10.80
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
2.30
2.50
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.30
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

0.70goals per match
Genoa conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
10.80
Match total
11.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.60
Match total
20.90

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.90
9%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches780
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.8%42.4%-0.4 pp
Draw27.5%29.1%+1.6 pp
Away29.7%28.5%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.461.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
1-010.1%
2-18.7%
0-07.7%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.44
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=779.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches232
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.8%27.0%–39.0% CI
Draw FT40.1%34.0%–46.5% CI
Away FT27.2%21.8%–33.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals40.1%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away47.0%