Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 11:30
11.6059.5%
X3.9724.0%
25.7716.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
LWWDLLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Empoli
LDLDWWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.40
Against
7.00
9.30
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.20goals per match
Empoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
7.00
9.30
Match total
11.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.80
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.30
Match total
29.50

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches245
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.5%60.8%+1.3 pp
Draw24.0%22.9%-1.1 pp
Away16.5%16.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS44.9%

Historical average

1.890.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.5%
1-113.1%
1-011.8%
3-07.8%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.813.70
Average total9.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%37.1%–59.1% CI
Draw FT29.3%20.2%–40.4% CI
Away FT22.7%14.7%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.3%
Away48.0%