Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-12 · 11:30
11.6059.5%
X3.9724.0%
25.7716.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
LWWDLLLWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Empoli
LDLDWWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.80
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.40
Against
7.00
9.30
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.80
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.20goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.30Matchup
Empoli attack
0.80goals per matchLazio conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.40
Corners against
7.00
9.30
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.30
Match total
29.50
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches245
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.5%60.8%+1.3 pp
Draw24.0%22.9%-1.1 pp
Away16.5%16.3%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.528.2%
BTTS44.9%
Historical average
1.89–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.5%
1-113.1%
1-011.8%
3-07.8%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.81–3.70
Average total9.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.6%
Over 9.547.3%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.527.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches75
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.0%37.1%–59.1% CI
Draw FT29.3%20.2%–40.4% CI
Away FT22.7%14.7%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals48.0%
3+ goals17.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.3%
Away48.0%