Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 19:45
11.4267.4%
X4.9719.3%
27.1713.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWWDWDWWLD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cagliari
LLDLLDWLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.70
0.90
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.00
Against
6.20
8.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.90
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.20
8.00
Match total
10.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
22.30
Match total
24.00

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
5.90
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches225
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.4%71.1%+3.7 pp
Draw19.3%21.3%+2.1 pp
Away13.3%7.6%-5.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

2.440.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.4%
2-09.8%
1-08.9%
1-18.4%
3-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.193.54
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=224.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.0%44.2%–70.6% CI
Draw FT34.0%22.4%–47.8% CI
Away FT8.0%3.2%–18.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.0%
2+ goals52.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.0%
Away28.0%