Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 17:00
12.1344.9%
X3.5127.3%
23.4427.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WDWWDWDLDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM
Bologna
WLLDWWWDWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.80
Against
5.40
10.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Bologna conceded1.10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.40
10.40
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.00
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
22.60
Match total
25.10

Shots

21.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
7.50
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches651
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.9%44.9%-0.1 pp
Draw27.3%29.3%+2.1 pp
Away27.8%25.8%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS55.3%

Historical average

1.511.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-010.9%
2-19.4%
0-07.8%
2-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.654.34
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=651.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.2%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.3%28.2%–40.9% CI
Draw FT39.5%33.2%–46.3% CI
Away FT26.2%20.7%–32.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals17.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.7%
Away48.6%