Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-06 · 19:45
13.7025.7%
X3.6226.3%
21.9848.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
DWLLDDDLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Napoli
LLLDLDWDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.50
Against
3.10
10.50
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.20goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.20goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.50
Corners against
3.10
10.50
Match total
8.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.60
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
25.70
Match total
21.50

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.10
On target
3.30
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches306
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.7%22.9%-2.8 pp
Draw26.3%29.1%+2.8 pp
Away48.0%48.0%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.530.1%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.081.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.4%
1-111.8%
1-29.5%
0-09.5%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.495.49
Average total9.98

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=306.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.5%9.8%–23.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%32.7%–51.4% CI
Away FT42.7%33.6%–52.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.8%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.8%
Away60.2%