Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-06 · 17:00
18.1711.6%
X5.3317.9%
21.3570.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Salernitana
LDLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Atalanta
LLDWDLDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Salernitana attack
0.90goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.60Matchup
Atalanta attack
1.40goals per matchSalernitana conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.00
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.20
Match total
24.90
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.6%16.3%+4.6 pp
Draw17.9%14.0%-3.9 pp
Away70.5%69.8%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS53.5%
Historical average
0.94–2.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-214.0%
0-211.6%
0-18.1%
1-18.1%
1-37.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.30–6.78
Average total10.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home25.0%
Away68.8%