Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-06 · 17:00
18.1711.6%
X5.3317.9%
21.3570.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
LDLLLLLLDL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Atalanta
LLDWDLDWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.40
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
10.20
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.60
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
10.20
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.00
Match total
5.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
25.20
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.70
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches86
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.6%16.3%+4.6 pp
Draw17.9%14.0%-3.9 pp
Away70.5%69.8%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.537.2%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

0.942.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.0%
0-211.6%
0-18.1%
1-18.1%
1-37.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.306.78
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=86.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT25.0%10.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home25.0%
Away68.8%