Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 19:45
12.8433.6%
X3.1030.8%
22.6835.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
DWDWWLWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Juventus
DWWWLDLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
8.20
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.80goals per matchJuventus conceded1.10Matchup
Juventus attack
1.30goals per matchRoma conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
8.20
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.40
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.6%-2.0 pp
Draw30.8%34.4%+3.6 pp
Away35.6%34.0%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS46.4%
Historical average
1.03–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-014.3%
0-111.5%
1-010.3%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.53–4.47
Average total9.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.551.1%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.522.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.7%–33.6% CI
Draw FT49.3%42.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT23.5%18.3%–29.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.06
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals9.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.1%
Away41.3%