Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 19:45
12.8433.6%
X3.1030.8%
22.6835.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
DWDWWLWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Juventus
DWWWLDLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.50
Against
5.10
8.20
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Juventus conceded1.10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.10
8.20
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.70
Match total
3.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
25.40
Match total
22.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches532
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%31.6%-2.0 pp
Draw30.8%34.4%+3.6 pp
Away35.6%34.0%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.9%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS46.4%

Historical average

1.031.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
0-014.3%
0-111.5%
1-010.3%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.47
Average total9.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=532.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.551.1%
Over 9.542.3%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches213
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.2%21.7%–33.6% CI
Draw FT49.3%42.7%–56.0% CI
Away FT23.5%18.3%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.06

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals9.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.1%
Away41.3%