Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 17:00
11.4765.1%
X4.5121.2%
26.9713.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WWWWDWDWWL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Genoa
LWDWDDLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.60
Against
6.10
8.50
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.90goals per match
Genoa conceded0.90
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.00goals per match
Milan conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.10
8.50
Match total
9.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
22.20
Match total
22.90

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.50
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.1%71.4%+6.4 pp
Draw21.2%16.9%-4.3 pp
Away13.7%11.7%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS38.3%

Historical average

2.110.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.2%
1-013.6%
2-110.4%
3-07.1%
1-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.123.56
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.7%40.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT24.1%14.6%–36.9% CI
Away FT22.2%13.2%–34.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals55.6%
3+ goals25.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.4%
Away40.7%