Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 14:00
12.3939.9%
X3.3128.8%
23.0531.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
DLLWDDLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Frosinone
LLLDLLLDDD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.60
1.20
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.70
Against
4.60
10.50
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.00
Total goals
3.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Frosinone conceded2.30
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.90goals per match
Empoli conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.60
10.50
Match total
8.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.60
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches519
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%41.6%+1.7 pp
Draw28.8%28.7%-0.1 pp
Away31.3%29.7%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.501.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-110.0%
1-28.3%
0-18.1%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.414.68
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=518.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.9%27.7%–42.8% CI
Draw FT40.9%33.4%–49.0% CI
Away FT24.2%18.0%–31.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals48.3%
3+ goals20.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.4%
Away51.0%