Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-05 · 11:30
12.1644.1%
X3.2229.6%
23.6326.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WDWLLDWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Lecce
LLLLLLDWLW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.10
Against
6.80
10.00
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.60goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.80
10.00
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
26.90
Match total
24.00

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.60
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches867
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.1%43.3%-0.9 pp
Draw29.6%31.6%+2.0 pp
Away26.3%25.1%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS51.1%

Historical average

1.361.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-012.1%
0-09.7%
2-19.3%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.194.33
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=866.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches295
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.6%31.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.0%36.5%–47.7% CI
Away FT21.4%17.1%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.5%
2+ goals36.6%
3+ goals11.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away40.3%