Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 19:45
16.0115.9%
X4.6820.4%
21.5063.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LLWDLLWDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Inter
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.50
2.10
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.30
Against
5.50
9.40
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.50
2.10
Goals conceded
0.60
3.30
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.20goals per match
Inter conceded0.60
Matchup

Inter attack

2.50goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.50
9.40
Match total
11.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.30
Match total
3.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
20.60
Match total
22.90

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.40
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
20%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches62
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.9%21.0%+5.1 pp
Draw20.4%9.7%-10.7 pp
Away63.7%69.4%+5.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

0.982.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.5%
0-112.9%
1-311.3%
0-39.7%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

3.425.87
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=62.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.516.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Draw FT20.0%8.9%–39.1% CI
Away FT64.0%44.5%–79.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.0%
Away68.0%