Serie A · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:00
14.3921.8%
X3.6326.3%
21.8451.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WLLWDWLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Lazio
DWWLWWLWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.50N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
6.00
8.10
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Monza conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.50N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.00
8.10
Match total
11.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
23.40
Match total
24.90

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
2.70
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%20.7%-1.1 pp
Draw26.3%21.2%-5.1 pp
Away51.9%58.1%+6.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS44.7%

Historical average

0.851.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.5%
1-012.3%
0-212.3%
1-211.2%
1-110.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.425.50
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.0%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.4%11.8%–32.9% CI
Draw FT29.6%19.1%–42.8% CI
Away FT50.0%37.1%–62.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.20

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals31.5%
3+ goals7.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.0%
Away59.3%