Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-29 · 19:45
12.2841.9%
X3.1630.2%
23.4227.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
DDDDWLWLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Cagliari
LLLDLLDWLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
6.40
11.00
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.70goals per match
Genoa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.40
11.00
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
25.40
Match total
23.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.20
On target
2.90
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches968
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.9%42.9%+1.0 pp
Draw30.2%32.5%+2.3 pp
Away27.9%24.6%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.520.0%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.310.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.8%
1-012.4%
0-010.3%
2-010.1%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.29
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=967.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.544.6%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.524.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches347
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT34.9%30.0%–40.0% CI
Draw FT44.7%39.5%–49.9% CI
Away FT20.5%16.6%–25.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals12.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away42.4%