Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 19:45
11.7255.5%
X3.9224.4%
24.7520.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WWWDLWWDLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Sassuolo
LDLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
6.40N=10
3.60
Against
5.40
9.10
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
2.80
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.80goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.00
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

0.70goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.40
9.10
Match total
11.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.20
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.10
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.5%58.8%+3.3 pp
Draw24.4%22.8%-1.6 pp
Away20.1%18.4%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.880.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.7%
2-111.1%
1-111.1%
2-010.0%
3-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.073.98
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=452.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches128
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.6%43.0%–60.0% CI
Draw FT32.0%24.6%–40.5% CI
Away FT16.4%11.0%–23.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals48.4%
3+ goals22.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.2%
Away39.8%