Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 17:00
11.4466.0%
X4.6420.5%
27.0613.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
LWWWWWWWLD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Empoli
DLDLDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
11.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.50goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.20Matchup
Empoli attack
0.90goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
11.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
21.50
Match total
29.60
Shots
18.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
7.60
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.0%74.3%+8.3 pp
Draw20.5%17.1%-3.4 pp
Away13.5%8.6%-4.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS46.8%
Historical average
2.31–0.73
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.8%
2-114.0%
1-010.8%
3-18.6%
2-27.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.52–3.36
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.3%49.7%–73.4% CI
Draw FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI
Away FT11.5%5.7%–21.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.84
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals57.4%
3+ goals27.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.0%
Away36.1%