Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 17:00
11.4466.0%
X4.6420.5%
27.0613.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LWWWWWWWLD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Empoli
DLDLDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.70
10.50
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.50
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.50goals per match
Empoli conceded1.20
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.90goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.70
10.50
Match total
11.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
21.50
Match total
29.60

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
7.60
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches222
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.0%74.3%+8.3 pp
Draw20.5%17.1%-3.4 pp
Away13.5%8.6%-4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

2.310.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.8%
2-114.0%
1-010.8%
3-18.6%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.523.36
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=222.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.3%49.7%–73.4% CI
Draw FT26.2%16.8%–38.4% CI
Away FT11.5%5.7%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.84

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals57.4%
3+ goals27.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.0%
Away36.1%