Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 14:00
11.6159.1%
X3.8324.9%
25.9516.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WWDWWWWLWD
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Udinese
LLDDLWLWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
0.40
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
40%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.50
Against
7.40
8.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.90goals per match
Udinese conceded1.70
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.80goals per match
Bologna conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
2.50
Corners against
7.40
8.40
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.90
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.40
On target
2.90
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches182
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%63.2%+4.0 pp
Draw24.9%22.0%-2.9 pp
Away16.0%14.8%-1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.800.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.0%
2-113.2%
1-111.0%
2-07.7%
3-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.803.83
Average total9.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=182.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.0%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.9%41.4%–67.7% CI
Draw FT21.6%12.5%–34.6% CI
Away FT23.5%14.0%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.3%
2+ goals39.2%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.6%
Away41.2%