Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 17:00
12.1045.6%
X3.4028.2%
23.6526.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
DWWWDLWDDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Milan
LDWWWLWWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.40
0.70
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
0.90
2H goals
2.60
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
8.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
4.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.80
Matchup

Milan attack

2.40goals per match
Juventus conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
8.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
5.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.30
Match total
23.00

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
3.50
On target
6.50
10%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches551
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%44.8%-0.8 pp
Draw28.2%29.0%+0.9 pp
Away26.2%26.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.9%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.521.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-09.8%
2-19.6%
0-17.8%
2-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.46
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=551.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches180
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.6%28.9%–42.8% CI
Draw FT37.2%30.5%–44.5% CI
Away FT27.2%21.2%–34.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.8%
Away48.9%