Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 14:00
12.0546.7%
X3.2729.3%
23.9724.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DDWDLWLLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Monza
DLDWLDWWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.50
Against
7.10
10.80
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.50
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Monza conceded1.20
Matchup

Monza attack

0.90goals per match
Lecce conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
7.10
10.80
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.50
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.80
Match total
24.10

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.40
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches663
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%46.2%-0.5 pp
Draw29.3%27.9%-1.3 pp
Away24.1%25.9%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.0%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.370.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-013.4%
0-110.1%
2-19.7%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.10
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=663.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.549.0%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches212
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.5%–40.1% CI
Draw FT42.9%36.4%–49.7% CI
Away FT23.6%18.4%–29.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.3%
2+ goals32.1%
3+ goals9.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away41.0%