Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-26 · 19:45
11.4267.6%
X4.9619.3%
27.3413.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Frosinone
WDLLWLLDLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Salernitana
LLWLDLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.70
1.70
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
8.00
10.90
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.70
Goals conceded
2.50
3.00
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Frosinone attack
1.30goals per matchSalernitana conceded2.50Matchup
Salernitana attack
0.70goals per matchFrosinone conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
8.00
10.90
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.70
Match total
3.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.20
Match total
23.50
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.30
On target
2.30
10%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.6%72.6%+5.0 pp
Draw19.3%20.0%+0.7 pp
Away13.1%7.4%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.562.8%
Over 3.540.5%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
2.42–0.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
2-011.2%
1-010.2%
1-17.4%
3-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.35–3.60
Average total9.95
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=214.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.530.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches48
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.3%44.3%–71.2% CI
Draw FT33.3%21.7%–47.5% CI
Away FT8.3%3.3%–19.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.1%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals20.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.8%
Away27.1%