Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-25 · 19:00
13.4127.9%
X3.2729.1%
22.2242.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
DDWLLDDDLL
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Roma
DWLLLWWWDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.40
1.60
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.50N=10
6.00
Against
4.60
10.00
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.40
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.40goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.40goals per match
Udinese conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
6.00
Corners against
4.60
10.00
Match total
8.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.80
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
26.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches491
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.9%26.9%-1.1 pp
Draw29.1%25.3%-3.9 pp
Away42.9%47.9%+4.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS48.9%

Historical average

1.011.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-111.2%
1-011.0%
1-29.6%
0-08.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.445.25
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=491.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.9%19.8%–33.2% CI
Draw FT35.8%28.8%–43.4% CI
Away FT38.3%31.1%–45.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.1%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.0%
Away56.2%