Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-22 · 19:45
13.7325.6%
X3.6626.1%
21.9848.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Milan
WWWWWDWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Inter
DWWDWWWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.40
0.50
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.40
Against
5.10
9.10
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.40
0.50
Goals conceded
0.60
2.40
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Milan attack
1.90goals per matchInter conceded0.60Matchup
Inter attack
2.40goals per matchMilan conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.10
9.10
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.20
Match total
22.50
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
5.50
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches266
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%21.1%-4.6 pp
Draw26.1%22.9%-3.2 pp
Away48.3%56.0%+7.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.533.5%
BTTS60.5%
Historical average
1.12–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-213.5%
1-110.2%
0-27.5%
0-17.1%
1-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.36–5.55
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.0%11.9%–29.0% CI
Draw FT35.4%25.8%–46.4% CI
Away FT45.6%35.0%–56.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.7%
2+ goals54.4%
3+ goals31.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.4%
Away65.8%