Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-22 · 17:30
12.3939.9%
X3.1230.6%
23.2329.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WDWDWWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bologna
LDWLLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
8.00
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.00goals per match
Bologna conceded1.30
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.20goals per match
Roma conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
8.00
Match total
8.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
25.70
Match total
27.00

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.90
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches824
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%41.1%+1.2 pp
Draw30.6%29.2%-1.3 pp
Away29.5%29.6%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

1.231.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-012.1%
0-010.2%
2-110.0%
0-19.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.874.22
Average total9.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=824.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.541.6%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.522.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches307
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.6%27.6%–38.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%35.4%–46.3% CI
Away FT26.7%22.1%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away45.9%