Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-22 · 17:30
12.3939.9%
X3.1230.6%
23.2329.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WDWDWWLWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bologna
LDWLLDWWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.40
Against
5.00
8.00
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
2.00goals per matchBologna conceded1.30Matchup
Bologna attack
1.20goals per matchRoma conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.00
8.00
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.40
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
25.70
Match total
27.00
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
3.70
On target
4.90
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches824
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.9%41.1%+1.2 pp
Draw30.6%29.2%-1.3 pp
Away29.5%29.6%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.517.2%
BTTS48.1%
Historical average
1.23–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.2%
1-012.1%
0-010.2%
2-110.0%
0-19.8%
Comparable corner averages
4.87–4.22
Average total9.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=824.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.2%
Over 9.541.6%
Over 10.531.3%
Over 11.522.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches307
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.6%27.6%–38.0% CI
Draw FT40.7%35.4%–46.3% CI
Away FT26.7%22.1%–31.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.5%
Away45.9%