Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 19:45
14.0323.7%
X3.6925.9%
21.8950.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
LWLLWDWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Atalanta
DLLDWDLDWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.10
Against
5.00
8.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.60
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.30goals per match
Monza conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.00
8.10
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
23.30
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
2.60
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.7%20.9%-2.7 pp
Draw25.9%28.0%+2.2 pp
Away50.5%51.1%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.531.2%
BTTS56.4%

Historical average

1.021.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-112.1%
1-29.2%
2-27.4%
0-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.48
Average total10.10

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.530.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%11.6%–28.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%30.7%–51.6% CI
Away FT40.7%30.7%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.0%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals14.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away64.2%