Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 17:00
14.9719.2%
X3.9624.1%
21.6856.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
WLDLLLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Fiorentina
LLDWLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.50
1.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.90
Against
1.80
10.80
Total
7.10
Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
1.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

0.50goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
1.80
10.80
Match total
7.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.20
Match total
5.40
100%10/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.10
Match total
25.30

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.2%19.0%-0.1 pp
Draw24.1%21.9%-2.2 pp
Away56.7%59.0%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.011.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.9%
0-110.0%
0-28.6%
1-18.6%
1-38.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.086.04
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT39.3%27.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.3%
Away58.9%