Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 17:00
14.9719.2%
X3.9624.1%
21.6856.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Salernitana
WLDLLLLLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Fiorentina
LLDWLLLDDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.50
1.90
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
10%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
0.80
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.90
Against
1.80
10.80
Total
7.10
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.90
Goals conceded
1.10
3.00
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Salernitana attack
1.10goals per matchFiorentina conceded1.10Matchup
Fiorentina attack
0.50goals per matchSalernitana conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.90
Corners against
1.80
10.80
Match total
7.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
6.20
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.00N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
25.10
Match total
25.30
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
4%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches210
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.2%19.0%-0.1 pp
Draw24.1%21.9%-2.2 pp
Away56.7%59.0%+2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.1%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS56.7%
Historical average
1.01–1.81
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.9%
0-110.0%
0-28.6%
1-18.6%
1-38.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.08–6.04
Average total10.12
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=210.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.6%11.3%–31.8% CI
Draw FT39.3%27.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT41.1%29.2%–54.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals39.3%
3+ goals19.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home39.3%
Away58.9%