Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 14:00
11.6956.5%
X3.8624.8%
25.1118.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
WWDWDWLDWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Frosinone
LLLLDLLLDD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.30
Conceded
2.60
20%
Over 2.5
70%
10%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.30
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.90
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.30
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.30
Goals conceded
2.60
1.40
Total goals
3.60
50%5/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Torino attack

1.10goals per match
Frosinone conceded2.60
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.00goals per match
Torino conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.00
1H goals conceded
1.30
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
22.80
Match total
23.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.70
On target
3.70
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches519
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%58.8%+2.2 pp
Draw24.8%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away18.7%18.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.525.6%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.710.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.3%
2-113.1%
2-010.6%
1-110.2%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.91
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=519.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.6%
Over 11.532.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT48.8%41.1%–56.4% CI
Draw FT36.3%29.2%–43.9% CI
Away FT15.0%10.3%–21.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.1%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.0%
Away38.1%