Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 11:30
12.3241.2%
X3.3728.4%
23.1530.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DLLWDLLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Lecce
DLLLLLLDWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.40
2.00
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
6.70
9.20
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.40
2.00
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded1.70
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.20
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.70
9.20
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.50
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
20.90
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
4.00
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches964
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%42.6%+1.4 pp
Draw28.4%28.4%+0.0 pp
Away30.4%28.9%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

1.441.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-010.6%
0-08.8%
2-18.8%
0-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.59
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=964.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches300
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.3%28.2%–38.8% CI
Draw FT41.7%36.2%–47.3% CI
Away FT25.0%20.4%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away43.0%