Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 17:00
14.8519.7%
X4.0023.9%
21.7056.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Empoli
LDLLWDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Napoli
WLLLDLDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
3.40
10.60
Total
8.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Empoli attack
1.10goals per matchNapoli conceded1.30Matchup
Napoli attack
1.40goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.40
10.60
Match total
8.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
27.20
Match total
21.30
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.7%16.6%-3.1 pp
Draw23.9%22.7%-1.2 pp
Away56.3%60.7%+4.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
0.93–1.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-111.4%
0-210.0%
1-19.2%
1-38.7%
1-28.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.10–5.75
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%8.0%–25.7% CI
Draw FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Away FT50.8%38.6%–62.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.34
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals18.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home29.5%
Away62.3%