Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-20 · 17:00
14.8519.7%
X4.0023.9%
21.7056.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LDLLWDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Napoli
WLLLDLDWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
3.40
10.60
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Empoli conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.40
10.60
Match total
8.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
27.20
Match total
21.30

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.40
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches229
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.7%16.6%-3.1 pp
Draw23.9%22.7%-1.2 pp
Away56.3%60.7%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.7%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS52.8%

Historical average

0.931.89

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.4%
0-210.0%
1-19.2%
1-38.7%
1-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.105.75
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=229.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches61
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT14.8%8.0%–25.7% CI
Draw FT34.4%23.7%–47.0% CI
Away FT50.8%38.6%–62.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals36.1%
3+ goals18.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home29.5%
Away62.3%