Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-19 · 19:45
15.0618.9%
X3.5227.2%
21.7853.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
DWDWLLDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Juventus
WDWWWLDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.90
Against
5.40
11.40
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.50goals per match
Juventus conceded1.00
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.30goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.40
11.40
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.30
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.9%35.6%+16.6 pp
Draw27.2%31.1%+3.9 pp
Away53.8%33.3%-20.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.540.0%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS46.7%

Historical average

1.021.33

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.0%
1-113.3%
0-011.1%
0-28.9%
2-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.476.18
Average total9.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.6%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.7%
Away35.3%