Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-19 · 17:30
13.1530.5%
X3.1330.7%
22.4738.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
WDDDDWLWLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lazio
LDWWLWWLWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.80
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.80
Against
6.20
11.20
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Genoa conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.20
11.20
Match total
11.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
25.90
Match total
25.20

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches296
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%27.7%-2.8 pp
Draw30.7%33.1%+2.4 pp
Away38.9%39.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.021.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.5%
1-113.5%
0-012.8%
1-010.5%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.97
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=296.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.6%
Over 10.535.1%
Over 11.526.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.2%18.8%–35.2% CI
Draw FT48.6%39.3%–58.0% CI
Away FT25.2%18.0%–34.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.04

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.5%
2+ goals29.0%
3+ goals8.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.9%
Away40.2%