Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-15 · 19:45
11.4565.8%
X4.6320.6%
26.9813.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
LLWWWWWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
Verona
LDLLLLDLWD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Against
6.30
10.30
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.40
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.40goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Matchup

Verona attack

0.80goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.60
Corners against
6.30
10.30
Match total
9.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.60
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
22.10
Match total
28.10

Shots

17.90N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
7.10
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches193
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.8%73.1%+7.3 pp
Draw20.6%16.6%-4.0 pp
Away13.7%10.4%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS41.5%

Historical average

2.110.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-016.1%
2-115.0%
1-014.0%
3-07.3%
4-05.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.393.35
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=193.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.7%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT64.2%52.2%–74.6% CI
Draw FT20.9%12.9%–32.1% CI
Away FT14.9%8.3%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.6%
2+ goals53.7%
3+ goals28.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.1%
Away32.8%