Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 19:45
11.1880.9%
X7.6412.5%
214.436.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWWWWWWWDW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Cagliari
LLLLDLLDWL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.60
0.30
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.00
Against
6.90
11.30
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.60
0.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.40goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.70
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.60goals per match
Inter conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
100%10/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.90
11.30
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.10
Match total
4.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
22.70
Match total
24.40

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
6.60
On target
2.50
13%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.9%82.9%+2.0 pp
Draw12.5%11.0%-1.5 pp
Away6.6%6.1%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.547.6%
BTTS52.4%

Historical average

2.720.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.3%
3-18.5%
2-18.5%
1-07.3%
3-06.1%

Comparable corner averages

8.592.71
Average total11.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.6%
Over 9.568.3%
Over 10.554.9%
Over 11.543.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI
Draw FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI
Away FT16.7%5.8%–39.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals77.8%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home88.9%
Away38.9%