Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 14:00
14.4421.5%
X3.9224.3%
21.7654.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DDLLWDLLWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Milan
DLDWWWLWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
2.30
1.80
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
90%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.50
60%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
4.70
9.20
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
2.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.20goals per match
Milan conceded1.70
Matchup

Milan attack

2.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.70
9.20
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.60
Match total
5.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
20.90
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.10
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches200
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.5%18.5%-3.0 pp
Draw24.3%23.0%-1.3 pp
Away54.2%58.5%+4.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.0%
Over 2.558.5%
Over 3.536.5%
BTTS55.5%

Historical average

1.021.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.0%
0-210.0%
1-19.5%
0-19.0%
2-26.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.115.87
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=200.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.9%16.1%–38.9% CI
Draw FT25.9%16.1%–38.9% CI
Away FT48.1%35.4%–61.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals44.4%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.7%
Away61.1%