Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 11:30
11.3570.9%
X5.4417.6%
28.3411.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
LLWDWWDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Frosinone
LLLLLDLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
2.60
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.10
Against
4.90
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
2.60
2.30
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.00goals per match
Frosinone conceded2.60
Matchup

Frosinone attack

0.80goals per match
Napoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.90
10.60
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

19.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
6.80
On target
3.40
5%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.9%72.6%+1.7 pp
Draw17.6%19.4%+1.8 pp
Away11.5%8.1%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.567.2%
Over 3.537.6%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.420.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-014.5%
2-012.9%
2-111.8%
2-27.5%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.283.30
Average total10.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=186.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.547.8%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.4%48.1%–76.4% CI
Draw FT34.1%21.6%–49.5% CI
Away FT2.4%0.4%–12.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.90

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.9%
2+ goals68.3%
3+ goals31.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.5%
Away34.1%