Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 19:45
11.5561.8%
X4.0723.5%
26.5514.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bologna
WWWDWWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Monza
WDLDWLDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.70
Against
6.30
7.90
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bologna attack
2.10goals per matchMonza conceded1.30Matchup
Monza attack
1.20goals per matchBologna conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.30
7.90
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.80
Match total
22.70
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.90
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%63.3%+1.4 pp
Draw23.5%22.0%-1.6 pp
Away14.6%14.8%+0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS42.0%
Historical average
1.79–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.0%
1-112.1%
2-011.7%
3-011.0%
2-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.28–3.71
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%42.7%–62.4% CI
Draw FT26.3%18.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT21.1%14.1%–30.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.48
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.4%
Away38.9%