Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 19:45
11.5561.8%
X4.0723.5%
26.5514.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WWWDWWWWLW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Monza
WDLDWLDWWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.20
0.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.70
Against
6.30
7.90
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.20
0.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

2.10goals per match
Monza conceded1.30
Matchup

Monza attack

1.20goals per match
Bologna conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
6.30
7.90
Match total
11.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.90
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches264
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home61.8%63.3%+1.4 pp
Draw23.5%22.0%-1.6 pp
Away14.6%14.8%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.7%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS42.0%

Historical average

1.790.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.0%
1-112.1%
2-011.7%
3-011.0%
2-16.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.283.71
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=264.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches95
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%42.7%–62.4% CI
Draw FT26.3%18.5%–36.0% CI
Away FT21.1%14.1%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away38.9%