Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 14:00
12.2542.6%
X3.0931.0%
23.6326.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
LDDWDLWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Empoli
WDLDLDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
9.80
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.90goals per match
Empoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.00goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
9.80
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.10
Match total
28.70

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%43.6%+1.0 pp
Draw31.0%33.3%+2.3 pp
Away26.4%23.1%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.340.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.7%
1-012.2%
2-011.1%
0-010.0%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.27
Average total9.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%29.8%–42.7% CI
Draw FT46.4%39.8%–53.2% CI
Away FT17.5%13.0%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away41.2%