Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-13 · 14:00
12.2542.6%
X3.0931.0%
23.6326.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lecce
LDDWDLWLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Empoli
WDLDLDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.00
1.60
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.20
Against
6.50
9.80
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.00
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
2.50
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lecce attack
0.90goals per matchEmpoli conceded1.10Matchup
Empoli attack
1.00goals per matchLecce conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.50
9.80
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.20
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
27.10
Match total
28.70
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.50
On target
2.70
6%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches592
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.6%43.6%+1.0 pp
Draw31.0%33.3%+2.3 pp
Away26.4%23.1%-3.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
1.34–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.7%
1-012.2%
2-011.1%
0-010.0%
2-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–4.27
Average total9.39
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=592.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.4%
Over 9.544.9%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%29.8%–42.7% CI
Draw FT46.4%39.8%–53.2% CI
Away FT17.5%13.0%–23.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals10.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.3%
Away41.2%