Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-12 · 19:45
11.3670.7%
X5.0719.0%
29.2610.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DWLWWDLLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Salernitana
DLLWLDLDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
2.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.70
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.60
Against
8.20
9.00
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
2.30
1.60
Total goals
3.10
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

0.80goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.30
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.80goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.20
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.60
Corners against
8.20
9.00
Match total
11.40
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.80
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
25.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
3.90
On target
2.00
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches64
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.7%73.4%+2.8 pp
Draw19.0%15.6%-3.3 pp
Away10.4%10.9%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS34.4%

Historical average

1.950.58

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.3%
2-015.6%
3-012.5%
2-19.4%
1-26.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.232.98
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=64.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.545.3%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%38.7%–78.1% CI
Draw FT30.0%14.5%–51.9% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals35.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away30.0%