Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:00
12.7235.1%
X2.9832.0%
22.9032.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LDDWLWDDWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Genoa
LLLWDWDDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.50
Against
5.50
10.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.30goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.90goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
6.50
Corners against
5.50
10.60
Match total
8.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.40
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.50
Match total
21.70

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
5.20
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches437
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%34.1%-1.0 pp
Draw32.0%35.5%+3.5 pp
Away32.9%30.4%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.516.0%
BTTS47.8%

Historical average

1.051.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.2%
0-013.7%
1-012.6%
0-110.5%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.574.36
Average total8.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=437.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.552.2%
Over 9.542.6%
Over 10.530.2%
Over 11.519.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.8%20.7%–33.9% CI
Draw FT48.2%40.8%–55.7% CI
Away FT25.0%19.1%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.07

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.3%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals8.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.6%
Away39.9%