Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:00
14.7220.2%
X3.9324.3%
21.7255.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cagliari
WDWDWLLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
WDLLDWDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.60
Against
4.90
10.80
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cagliari attack
1.50goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.40Matchup
Atalanta attack
1.50goals per matchCagliari conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.90
10.80
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Match total
5.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.60N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
25.30
Match total
24.20
Shots
13.50N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%16.1%-4.1 pp
Draw24.3%21.0%-3.3 pp
Away55.5%62.9%+7.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
0.91–1.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-212.1%
0-111.3%
1-28.9%
1-18.9%
1-38.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.11–5.73
Average total9.84
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%11.7%–30.4% CI
Draw FT28.4%19.0%–40.1% CI
Away FT52.2%40.5%–63.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home32.8%
Away61.2%