Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:00
14.7220.2%
X3.9324.3%
21.7255.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cagliari
WDWDWLLDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
WDLLDWDLDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
60%
90%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.60
Against
4.90
10.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Cagliari attack

1.50goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.50goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.90
10.80
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.60
Match total
5.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
25.30
Match total
24.20

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches248
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.2%16.1%-4.1 pp
Draw24.3%21.0%-3.3 pp
Away55.5%62.9%+7.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

0.911.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-212.1%
0-111.3%
1-28.9%
1-18.9%
1-38.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.115.73
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=248.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT19.4%11.7%–30.4% CI
Draw FT28.4%19.0%–40.1% CI
Away FT52.2%40.5%–63.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.8%
Away61.2%