Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 14:00
14.1023.3%
X3.7225.7%
21.8850.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
DLWLLWDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Napoli
WWLLLDLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.60
Against
4.10
7.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.30
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.10goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.20goals per match
Monza conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.10
7.80
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.70
Match total
22.00

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
2.90
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.3%19.4%-4.0 pp
Draw25.7%27.8%+2.0 pp
Away50.9%52.9%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS60.8%

Historical average

1.051.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-212.8%
0-110.1%
2-27.5%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.545.52
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%9.6%–27.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%31.2%–54.4% CI
Away FT40.9%29.9%–53.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals19.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.0%
Away66.7%