Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 14:00
14.1023.3%
X3.7225.7%
21.8850.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Monza
DLWLLWDWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Napoli
WWLLLDLDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.60
Against
4.10
7.80
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Monza attack
1.10goals per matchNapoli conceded1.10Matchup
Napoli attack
1.20goals per matchMonza conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.10
7.80
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.70
Match total
22.00
Shots
11.60N=10
Shots
12.60N=10
2.90
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches227
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.3%19.4%-4.0 pp
Draw25.7%27.8%+2.0 pp
Away50.9%52.9%+1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.530.8%
BTTS60.8%
Historical average
1.05–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
1-212.8%
0-110.1%
2-27.5%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.54–5.52
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=227.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%9.6%–27.4% CI
Draw FT42.4%31.2%–54.4% CI
Away FT40.9%29.9%–53.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals19.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.0%
Away66.7%