Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 11:30
14.1323.2%
X3.5626.9%
21.9249.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Frosinone
WWDLLWLLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Bologna
DLDWLLDWWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.80
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.30
Against
5.10
11.30
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.80
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.50goals per match
Bologna conceded1.40
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Frosinone conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.10
11.30
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Match total
5.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.40
Match total
26.70

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.30
On target
4.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches279
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%20.4%-2.8 pp
Draw26.9%24.4%-2.5 pp
Away49.9%55.2%+5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

0.941.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.5%
1-111.8%
0-210.0%
1-29.0%
1-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.565.63
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=279.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.5%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.530.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.3%13.7%–31.4% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.2%–42.1% CI
Away FT47.5%36.9%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.8%
2+ goals52.5%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.3%
Away66.3%